Research (Under Construction During May 2019)

Footprint for Hurricane Maria

The simulated wind footprint of Hurricane Maria (2017)

Fast Physical Footprinting of Tropical Cyclones

This collaboration between C3WE and the reinsurance industry developed a fast and physically-based model of the surface wind field of landfalling tropical cyclones. The model accounts for fine-scale terrain feastures such as coastlines, mountains and surface roughness. The model is applicable to historical event reconstruction, real-time forecasting, and synthetic event modeling.

Paper in preparation.


Characterizing the potential for drought action

Conceptual overview of the methodology that combines hydrological and societal perspectives to quantify the potential for drought action

Characterizing the Potential for Drought Action from Combined Hydrological and Societal Perspectives

Drought is a function of both natural and human influences, but fully characterizing the interactions between human and natural influences on drought remains challenging. To better characterize the drought feedback loop, this study combines hydrological and societal perspectives to characterize the potential for drought action. We discuss how the results can be used to reduce potential disagreement among stakeholders and promote sustainable water management. 

Towler, E., Lazrus, H., and PaiMazumder, D.: Characterizing the potential for drought action from combined hydrological and societal perspectives, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1469-1482,, 2019.


 Application of Decadal Prediction

Flowchart of a three-step framework to the application of decadal climate predictions.

Toward the Application of Decadal Climate Predictions

Decadal prediction is a relatively new branch of climate science that bridges the gap between seasonal climate forecasts and multidecadal-to-century projections of climate change. This paper develops a three-step framework toward the potential application of decadal temperature predictions using the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4). The paper discusses the advantages and disadvantages of the framework, as well as how its use will depend on the user context.  

Towler, E., D. PaiMazumder, and J. Done2018Toward the Application of Decadal Climate Predictions. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 57555–568, doi:10.1175/JAMC-D-17-0113.1 


Florida Hurricane Losses 

Spatial insured wind losses for 7 Florida Hurricanes from 2004 and 2005.

Relationship between Residential Losses and Hurricane Winds: Role of the Florida Building Code.

For seven historical hurricanes that impacted Florida during 2004 and 2005, wind speed, duration, and directional change are significantly correlated with insured wind loss. The Florida Building Code is found to be effective at reducing losses from high wind speeds, long wind duration and high degrees of directional change.

Done, J.M., Simmons, K.M. and Czajkowski, J., 2018. Relationship between residential losses and hurricane winds: role of the Florida building code. ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering4(1), p.04018001.